Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.162673 0.186410 0.213435 0.246700 0.286841 0.334097 0.394506
2025-04-27 0.128187 0.159412 0.198972 0.253741 0.329186 0.431916 0.586873
2025-05-04 0.107035 0.141202 0.188040 0.259036 0.367876 0.535670 0.829961
2025-05-11 0.093341 0.128948 0.180915 0.265778 0.408340 0.653976 1.151243
2025-05-18 0.082545 0.118300 0.173191 0.268555 0.441851 0.771704 1.536651
2025-05-25 0.073994 0.109340 0.165968 0.269751 0.471983 0.893937 2.010827
2025-06-01 0.066705 0.101129 0.158308 0.268048 0.495538 1.011887 2.564818
2025-06-08 0.060328 0.093461 0.150212 0.263573 0.511803 1.120294 3.189150
2025-06-15 0.056676 0.089850 0.148579 0.271129 0.556432 1.320747 4.338088
2025-06-22 0.051903 0.083689 0.141350 0.265686 0.569075 1.440998 5.340473
2025-06-29 0.048742 0.080020 0.138270 0.268438 0.603045 1.644963 7.060202
2025-07-06 0.045343 0.075543 0.133005 0.265278 0.620629 1.807208 8.890688
2025-07-13 0.043001 0.072854 0.131076 0.269814 0.662566 2.090998 12.302574
2025-07-20 0.041071 0.070757 0.130107 0.276588 0.714404 2.459657 17.830030
2025-07-27 0.039218 0.068614 0.128752 0.282165 0.765265 2.874999 26.157026
2025-08-03 0.037672 0.066920 0.128136 0.289585 0.825973 3.407406 40.485322
2025-08-10 0.035950 0.064697 0.126060 0.292652 0.873109 3.927925 61.292922
2025-08-17 0.034267 0.062399 0.123531 0.293978 0.914917 4.478228 93.679856
2025-08-24 0.032534 0.059843 0.120108 0.292077 0.943715 4.990412 140.556745
2025-08-31 0.030771 0.057082 0.115902 0.287086 0.958146 5.427752 204.843779
2025-09-07 0.029899 0.056166 0.116033 0.295512 1.036603 6.551796 421.389227
2025-09-14 0.028330 0.053600 0.111836 0.289441 1.045488 7.063769 661.908205
2025-09-21 0.027337 0.052235 0.110502 0.292510 1.101541 8.208822 1472.102031